Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.792913 0.929514 1.077066 1.247635 1.438698 1.645446 1.885388
2025-07-20 0.582406 0.774278 1.001509 1.287133 1.633034 2.034798 2.532903
2025-07-27 0.432521 0.647834 0.925403 1.301031 1.786942 2.384834 3.165680
2025-08-03 0.315943 0.532104 0.834346 1.272061 1.872342 2.648422 3.706968
2025-08-10 0.243430 0.457610 0.780129 1.275897 1.990444 2.952894 4.312621
2025-08-17 0.181561 0.382466 0.708500 1.239634 2.042009 3.164441 4.801498
2025-08-24 0.144289 0.337618 0.673183 1.248157 2.152046 3.456787 5.409778
2025-08-31 0.113390 0.295491 0.633545 1.241846 2.234855 3.710626 5.972731
2025-09-07 0.096381 0.275777 0.628324 1.288813 2.400292 4.090775 6.730689
2025-09-14 0.080647 0.254156 0.615310 1.319332 2.539382 4.436329 7.451094
2025-09-21 0.062670 0.221521 0.574916 1.295352 2.585044 4.638982 7.965547
2025-09-28 0.052722 0.205555 0.564923 1.324620 2.720201 4.985068 8.707568
2025-10-05 0.043173 0.187828 0.549117 1.342942 2.841168 5.320426 9.457078
2025-10-12 0.035430 0.172446 0.535837 1.364805 2.970269 5.676256 10.255206
2025-10-19 0.028274 0.155692 0.516004 1.370695 3.070313 5.988761 10.997455
2025-10-26 0.020948 0.134187 0.479649 1.336835 3.093136 6.172187 11.539728
2025-11-02 0.016452 0.120895 0.461384 1.339228 3.183378 6.472363 12.279698
2025-11-09 0.011822 0.103422 0.427221 1.300881 3.190522 6.627901 12.786630
2025-11-16 0.009289 0.094116 0.414236 1.309437 3.289813 6.947096 13.572906
2025-11-23 0.007006 0.083967 0.396013 1.302757 3.356967 7.210976 14.274001
2025-11-30 0.005993 0.080922 0.400034 1.351457 3.541084 7.691925 15.356237
2025-12-07 0.004912 0.076268 0.397524 1.383106 3.690932 8.115574 16.352303
2025-12-14 0.003468 0.066567 0.374482 1.358209 3.718125 8.314100 16.966420